Today’s US Open quarterfinal is worth watching: Tiafoe just beat Medvedev in straight sets, but Michelsen has reached this round without dropping a set. The latter is a real counterweight to the veteran-at-home narrative. Matchup reporting
Tennis Abstract’s current draw forecast gives Tiafoe 60.1%. The −156 DraftKings price reported by Sports Illustrated needs 60.94%; at that forecast it produces approximately −1.4% expected return, before any settlement complications. That is a reported price with no verified quote timestamp, not an executable offer. Dimers’ separate forecast is less enthusiastic, at 56.5%. Tennis Abstract, Dimers
I found neither a verified eligible boost nor a live FanDuel/DraftKings quote that turns this into a defensible play. No bet recommended today.